Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.884794 2.156925 2.456194 2.809999 3.217228 3.671707 4.218015
2025-06-29 1.438337 1.796690 2.227862 2.786090 3.491586 4.356063 5.499623
2025-07-06 1.179800 1.563576 2.054341 2.730356 3.641333 4.831985 6.515479
2025-07-13 1.079023 1.501731 2.070274 2.894931 4.067513 5.685482 8.105637
2025-07-20 0.954928 1.385411 1.989823 2.906061 4.270264 6.242606 9.340053
2025-07-27 0.879564 1.324646 1.974204 2.998956 4.589810 6.989666 10.930020
2025-08-03 0.793617 1.235863 1.904061 2.996752 4.758242 7.519699 12.240906
2025-08-10 0.716982 1.151273 1.828672 2.973623 4.884710 7.989252 13.500203
2025-08-17 0.646137 1.067287 1.743800 2.922820 4.955442 8.368760 14.644367
2025-08-24 0.604804 1.026564 1.723521 2.974623 5.200070 9.059382 16.401633
2025-08-31 0.567404 0.988135 1.702254 3.020595 5.436379 9.756069 18.246756
2025-09-07 0.524087 0.934807 1.649563 3.004121 5.556384 10.253333 19.773769
2025-09-14 0.472262 0.865033 1.567781 2.939024 5.604305 10.669663 21.297096
2025-09-21 0.430468 0.809911 1.508129 2.911456 5.726654 11.255276 23.270799
2025-09-28 0.390128 0.752695 1.437658 2.853215 5.778830 11.705160 25.022766
2025-10-05 0.381426 0.755321 1.481241 3.025519 6.317844 13.206518 29.238521
2025-10-12 0.355686 0.721161 1.448529 3.037173 6.521305 14.030165 32.075394
2025-10-19 0.341129 0.708030 1.456430 3.134442 6.920006 15.323499 36.179391
2025-10-26 0.318452 0.675454 1.420476 3.132134 7.096548 16.143514 39.283256
2025-11-02 0.296062 0.641111 1.377081 3.107915 7.219322 16.854426 42.225454
2025-11-09 0.273465 0.603975 1.323758 3.054720 7.267042 17.393378 44.813483
2025-11-16 0.261168 0.588564 1.316902 3.108963 7.579591 18.612355 49.360496
2025-11-23 0.249337 0.572981 1.307989 3.157100 7.882885 19.847342 54.145187